Premier League teams that have finished on 36 or more points in each of the last nine seasons are guaranteed safety from relegation.
In the 20-team Premier League era, from the 1995-96 season, the average number of points needed for survival by finishing 18th is 35.53.
No team in the last nine campaigns has earned 36 points and been relegated.
However, this season is shaping up to be the hardest to survive in a decade. After 33 rounds of matches, the 18th place is projected to finish on 36 points, which means 37 points will be enough to ensure survival.
In the 30 Premier League seasons of 38 games, 36 points ensured survival 60% of the time.
That survival rate increases to 80% for 38 points, 90% for 40 points and 100% for 43 or more points.
West Ham hold the record for the most points relegated team in the 20-team era. In the 2002-03 season the Hammers picked up 42 points but were still relegated.
The safety thresholds for the past two seasons have been significantly lower due to newly promoted teams struggling in the Premier League. In the past two seasons, 26 and 27 points respectively were enough to indicate safety.
Only once before the 2023-24 season was a total of less than 30 points enough to ensure survival.
